tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Ana via San Francisco: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:02 PHX → 16:21 SFO
    F9 1191 · Frontier · 2h 16m · 64% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:26 SFO → 19:14 SNA
    F9 3582 · Frontier · 1h 48m · 65% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 12mPHX 14:02 to SNA 19:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.