tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:05 ATL → 06:40 MCO
    F9 1242 · Frontier · 1h 39m · 79% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 MCO → 12:59 DCA
    AA 2088 · American · 2h 19m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 54mATL 05:05 to DCA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.