tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 06:10 DTW → 08:31 ATL
    F9 1263 · Frontier · 2h 21m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:24 ATL → 11:34 BUF
    F9 1408 · Frontier · 2h 09m · 67% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 23mDTW 06:10 to BUF 11:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.