tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:39 ATL → 16:09 DFW
    F9 1269 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 64% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:18 DFW → 22:00 LGA
    F9 3424 · Frontier · 3h 42m · 61% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 21mATL 14:39 to LGA 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.