tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Oakland via Ontario: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:00 LAS → 08:03 ONT
    F9 1283 · Frontier · 1h 03m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 ONT → 12:20 OAK
    WN 3154 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 20mLAS 07:00 to OAK 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.