tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Jose via Denver: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:17 BNA → 14:23 DEN
    F9 1401 · Frontier · 3h 08m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:55 DEN → 17:35 SJC
    UA 1883 · United · 2h 40m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 18mBNA 12:17 to SJC 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.