tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Charlotte Amalie via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 06:10 IAH → 09:41 ATL
    F9 1404 · Frontier · 2h 26m · 68% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 ATL → 15:20 STT
    DL 1889 · Delta · 3h 45m · 70% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte Amalie is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 10mIAH 06:10 to STT 15:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.