tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 22%

  1. 13:40 ORD → 17:01 ATL
    F9 1442 · Frontier · 2h 22m · 62% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:57 LGA
    F9 3458 · Frontier · 2h 22m · 34% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip6h 17mORD 13:40 to LGA 20:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.