tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:40 ORD → 17:01 ATL
    F9 1442 · Frontier · 2h 22m · 62% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:00 BWI
    F9 4712 · Frontier · 2h 00m · 46% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip8h 20mORD 13:40 to BWI 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.