tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 52%

  1. 09:43 SAN → 11:16 LAS
    F9 1466 · Frontier · 1h 33m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 LAS → 13:52 RNO
    F9 3625 · Frontier · 1h 37m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 09mSAN 09:43 to RNO 13:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.