tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Everett via San Diego: arrives on time 65%

  1. 14:20 PHX → 15:32 SAN
    F9 1571 · Frontier · 1h 12m · 78% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:00 SAN → 22:00 PAE
    AS 2189 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 40mPHX 14:20 to PAE 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.