tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tampa via Las Vegas: arrives on time 31%

  1. 20:35 DFW → 21:31 LAS
    F9 1647 · Frontier · 2h 56m · 60% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:18 LAS → 05:54 TPA +1 day
    F9 1258 · Frontier · 4h 36m · 63% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 19mDFW 20:35 to TPA 05:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.