tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 12:10 RDU → 13:51 ATL
    F9 1669 · Frontier · 1h 41m · 67% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 ATL → 17:51 LGA
    F9 3454 · Frontier · 2h 21m · 53% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 41mRDU 12:10 to LGA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.