Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:10 RDU → 13:51 ATL
    F9 1669 · Frontier · 1h 41m · 67% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 ATL → 16:52 IAD
    F9 4410 · Frontier · 1h 57m · 67% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 42mRDU 12:10 to IAD 16:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.