tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:27 SNA → 15:53 PHX
    F9 1720 · Frontier · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:39 PHX → 21:18 DFW
    F9 3972 · Frontier · 2h 39m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 51mSNA 14:27 to DFW 21:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.