tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 36%

  1. 09:15 LAS → 16:59 MCO
    F9 1728 · Frontier · 4h 46m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 MCO → 20:35 BWI
    F9 4004 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 19mLAS 09:15 to BWI 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.