tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Houston: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:14 RDU → 12:12 IAH
    F9 1741 · Frontier · 2h 59m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:34 IAH → 17:55 TPA
    UA 2812 · United · 2h 21m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 41mRDU 10:14 to TPA 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.