tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Juan → Houston via Orlando: arrives on time 62%

  1. 03:10 SJU → 06:10 MCO
    F9 1823 · Frontier · 3h 04m · 81% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 MCO → 08:47 IAH
    F9 1417 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind San Juan). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 37mSJU 03:10 to IAH 08:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.