tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:00 TPA → 09:01 ATL
    F9 1853 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:15 ATL → 11:11 BHM
    DL 1017 · Delta · 56m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 11mTPA 07:00 to BHM 11:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.