tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 TPA → 09:01 ATL
    F9 1853 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 ATL → 12:11 HOU
    DL 1195 · Delta · 2h 07m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 12mTPA 07:00 to HOU 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.