tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aguadilla → Newark via Orlando: arrives on time 84%

  1. 03:05 BQN → 05:59 MCO
    F9 1953 · Frontier · 2h 52m · 75% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:10 MCO → 11:53 EWR
    UA 1227 · United · 2h 43m · 91% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 48mBQN 03:05 to EWR 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.