Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 43%

  1. 08:52 DTW → 10:59 IAH
    F9 1957 · Frontier · 3h 07m · 66% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:54 IAH → 12:42 PHX
    F9 1703 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 50mDTW 08:52 to PHX 12:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.