tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:34 LAS → 21:41 DEN
    F9 1994 · Frontier · 2h 07m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 DEN → 00:23 SFO +1 day
    F9 3439 · Frontier · 2h 54m · 70% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 49mLAS 18:34 to SFO 00:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.