tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Harrisburg via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:26 PHL → 08:17 DTW
    F9 2021 · Frontier · 1h 51m · 72% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:42 MDT
    DL 4065 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 16mPHL 06:26 to MDT 11:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.