tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:50 DTW → 15:29 PHL
    F9 2022 · Frontier · 1h 39m · 59% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:32 PHL → 20:28 MIA
    F9 1203 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 65% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 43mDTW 13:50 to MIA 20:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.