tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Nashville via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:20 PHL → 08:45 RDU
    F9 2059 · Frontier · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 RDU → 11:15 BNA
    WN 684 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip4h 55mPHL 07:20 to BNA 11:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.