tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:30 RDU → 15:01 PHL
    F9 2060 · Frontier · 1h 32m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:06 PHL → 18:47 ORD
    F9 2111 · Frontier · 2h 41m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 17mRDU 13:30 to ORD 18:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.