tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:30 RDU → 15:01 PHL
    F9 2060 · Frontier · 1h 32m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 PHL → 17:46 CLT
    F9 4353 · Frontier · 1h 55m · 57% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 15mRDU 13:30 to CLT 17:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.