tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 18:28 SMF → 19:59 LAS
    F9 2070 · Frontier · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:10 LAS → 05:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 2208 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 17mSMF 18:28 to BWI 05:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.