tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 83%

  1. 18:28 SMF → 19:59 LAS
    F9 2070 · Frontier · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:55 LAS → 05:25 MDW +1 day
    WN 2276 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 57mSMF 18:28 to MDW 05:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.