tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 46%

  1. 16:48 PHX → 19:46 DEN
    F9 2142 · Frontier · 1h 56m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 DEN → 20:18 AUS +1 day
    F9 2890 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 13mPHX 16:48 to AUS 20:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.