tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Providence via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:11 MDW → 15:13 ATL
    F9 2144 · Frontier · 2h 02m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:40 ATL → 20:11 PVD
    DL 2659 · Delta · 2h 31m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 00mMDW 12:11 to PVD 20:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.