tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Philadelphia via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 47%

  1. 09:40 RDU → 11:47 FLL
    F9 2177 · Frontier · 2h 08m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 FLL → 15:42 PHL
    F9 2932 · Frontier · 2h 55m · 66% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 05mRDU 09:40 to PHL 15:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.