tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 35%

  1. 13:29 ORD → 16:50 ATL
    F9 2198 · Frontier · 2h 21m · 64% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:22 ATL → 22:43 LGA
    F9 3288 · Frontier · 2h 21m · 41% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip8h 14mORD 13:29 to LGA 22:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.