tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 65%

  1. 12:26 RDU → 14:29 DEN
    F9 2225 · Frontier · 4h 03m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 DEN → 20:43 ORD
    F9 3174 · Frontier · 2h 38m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 17mRDU 12:26 to ORD 20:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.