tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Santa Rosa via Las Vegas: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:58 ONT → 13:06 LAS
    F9 2232 · Frontier · 1h 10m · 84% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:24 LAS → 17:16 STS
    AS 2458 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 52m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 18mONT 11:58 to STS 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.