tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 09:19 ATL
    F9 2292 · Frontier · 2h 17m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 ATL → 14:36 PHL
    AA 4338 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 36mMDW 06:00 to PHL 14:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.