tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Charlotte: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:00 PHL → 09:56 CLT
    F9 2387 · Frontier · 1h 56m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:05 CLT → 15:31 TVC
    AA 5628 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 24m · 77% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 29mPHL 08:00 to TVC 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.