tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:26 PHL → 07:55 MCO
    F9 2415 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:20 MCO → 12:32 DCA
    DL 1003 · Delta · 2h 12m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 06mPHL 05:26 to DCA 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.