tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hebron via Orlando: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:34 PHL → 20:18 MCO
    F9 2505 · Frontier · 2h 44m · 63% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 MCO → 23:46 CVG
    F9 1713 · Frontier · 2h 22m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 12mPHL 17:34 to CVG 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.