tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Juan via Orlando: arrives on time 52%

  1. 10:11 PHL → 12:56 MCO
    F9 2507 · Frontier · 2h 44m · 70% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:57 MCO → 16:59 SJU
    F9 1824 · Frontier · 3h 03m · 79% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 49mPHL 10:11 to SJU 16:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.