tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:24 PHX → 10:59 DFW
    F9 2532 · Frontier · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:19 DFW → 15:59 ORD
    F9 1342 · Frontier · 2h 43m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 38mPHX 06:24 to ORD 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.