tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:24 PHX → 10:59 DFW
    F9 2532 · Frontier · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 DFW → 16:51 MDW
    F9 2882 · Frontier · 2h 24m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 30mPHX 06:24 to MDW 16:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.