tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:24 PHX → 10:59 DFW
    F9 2532 · Frontier · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:36 DFW → 16:06 MSP
    F9 3224 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 77% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 42mPHX 06:24 to MSP 16:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.