tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:30 PHL → 09:05 ATL
    F9 2551 · Frontier · 2h 35m · 71% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:11 ATL → 12:45 AUS
    F9 4211 · Frontier · 2h 33m · 67% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 14mPHL 06:30 to AUS 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.