tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:30 PHX → 06:29 ATL
    F9 2608 · Frontier · 3h 54m · 69% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ATL → 12:00 JFK +1 day
    DL 1034 · Delta · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 26mPHX 23:30 to JFK 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.