tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 23:30 PHX → 06:29 ATL
    F9 2608 · Frontier · 3h 54m · 69% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:10 ATL → 10:29 SDF +1 day
    DL 1374 · Delta · 1h 22m · 90% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 02mPHX 23:30 to SDF 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.