tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:30 PHX → 06:29 ATL
    F9 2608 · Frontier · 3h 54m · 69% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:10 ATL → 10:37 MEM +1 day
    DL 2937 · Delta · 1h 27m · 89% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 07mPHX 23:30 to MEM 10:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.