tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Houston via Orlando: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:38 BDL → 15:39 MCO
    F9 2769 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 MCO → 18:27 IAH
    F9 3469 · Frontier · 2h 53m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 51mBDL 12:38 to IAH 18:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.