tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:30 DTW → 09:57 LAS
    F9 2801 · Frontier · 4h 27m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:35 LAS → 16:23 SEA
    DL 2905 · Delta · 2h 48m · 89% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 53mDTW 08:30 to SEA 16:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.